07-13-2009, 02:35 PM
Vllad Wrote:You can't look at the rail alone. That would be stupid. You have to look at the combination of Rail and Truck combined. Their are years where one will see a decline and one will increase. Especially with Rail. It is the cheapest way to move goods in the US but it also the slowest so intermodal isn't even touched by some supply chains.
The other thing is to always throw out the first quarter.
January, February and March numbers you might as well just toss when trying to have any logical discussion.
No one ships anything in those months no matter how good the year is. Christmas to Easter is dead. Inventories are full with no potential sales looming.
Peak is always August to November. You can't make any presumptions until the 2nd and 3rd quarters.
Vllad
Is it possible that the issue with getting truck data is that its too diffuse? It might be easy to gather info on rail shipments but harder to keep track of million of truck shipments..???
"Hamilton is really a Colossus to the anti republican party. Without numbers he is an host within himself. They have got themselves into a defile where they might be finished but too much security on the republican part will give time to his talents and indefatigableness to extricate them. We have had only middling performances to oppose to him. In truth when he comes forward there is nobody but yourself who can meet him. His adversaries having begun the attack he has the advantage of answering them and remains unanswered himself. For God's sake take up your pen and give a fundamental reply to Curtius and Camillas" - Thomas Jefferson to James Madison